Palisade's Largest Events of the Year

In This Issue
What's New
» Register Now for Palisade
   Risk Conference New Orleans

» Mainstream Support for the
   DecisionTools Suite and
   @RISK 5.x is Ending Soon

BigPicture Case Study
» First Principles Consulting
   Improves Operations for
   Mining Clients with BigPicture

@RISK Case Study
» US National Marine Fisheries
   Service uses @RISK for
   Salmon Population Models

@RISK Modeling Tips
»Three Stage Valuation Model

Upcoming Webcasts

In This Issue

2014 Palisade Risk Conferences
An intensive day(s) of networking, software training presented by Palisade trainers and consultants, and real-world case studies presented by industry experts. Join us at an event near you.

EMEA & India
» London: 22 October
» Dubai: 2 November
North America
» New Orleans:
   11-12 November

Regional Seminars
Melbourne: 26-27 October
Brisbane: 10-11 November

Brasília: 20-22 de outubro
Rio de Janeiro:
  21-23 de outubro

London: 27-29 October
Dubai: 3-5 November
London: 17-19 November
  23-25 November
Munich: 26-28 November
Moscow: 27-29 November

Latin America
Santiago, Chile:
   13 al 15 de octubre Quito, Ecuador:
   26 al 28 de octubre

North America
Charlotte, NC: 6-8 October
Los Angeles, CA: 17-19 November
Miami, FL: 1-3 December
Seattle, WA: 8-10 December

Live Web Training
Decision-Making and
Quantitative Risk Analysis
using the DecisionTools Suite

29-30 October, 11am-3pm EDT
  (US/Canada Eastern Daylight Time)

Trial Versions
Palisade software is available
in fully functional trial versions.
Try @RISK or any of our
software today!

The DecisionTools Suite
The complete risk and
decision analysis toolkit

» English
» Español
» Português
» Deutsch
» Français
» 日本語版
» 中文版

Risk analysis software using Monte Carlo simulation for Excel and Project

Visual decision analysis
for spreadsheets

Sophisticated neural networks for spreadsheets

Advanced statistical analysis for spreadsheets

The Innovative Optimizer
for Windows

Mind Mapping and Data Exploration for Excel

The DecisionTools Suite

Time Is Running Out to Register for Our Largest Event of the Year
Palisade Risk Conference New Orleans
Hilton Riverside, November 11-12, 2015
Join Leaders from Amway, Fluor, CH2M Hill, and More

  • 4 Tracks of Sessions Including AECOM, Amway, CH2M Hill, Fluor, Navigant Consulting, US Army Corps of Engineers, and More
  • See the New @RISK and DecisionTools Suite Version 7
  • Earn PMI & AACE Professional Development Credit

Time is running out to register for the Palisade Risk Conference in New Orleans! This is the most important event of the year for quantitative risk and decision analysis. Join us for two days and four full tracks showcasing presentations from both industry leaders and Palisade trainers. Plus, don’t miss the chance to learn about the exciting new version 7 release of @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite software!

  » View the Schedule and Register

Industry Case Studies, Consulting Opportunities,
Palisade Training, and Networking

Industry experts will present a selection of real-world case studies about innovative approaches to managing risk and uncertainty in a wide range of business applications. Here’s just a sample:

  • Amway – Manufacturing
  • CH2M Hill, Army Corps of Engineers – Construction and project management
  • Fluor – Project risk analysis
  • Enmax Energy – Energy demand and pricing
  • Navigant Consulting – Urban development
  • Palisade – Project risk analysis, oil and gas risk, insurance models, decision tree modeling – and more – presented by Palisade trainers and software engineers. We’ll explore the features in @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite software that make risk modeling and analysis accessible and powerful.

In addition, you can sign up for a no-charge session with a Palisade consultant to review your own models as part of our Expert Sessions track. The New Orleans conference will feature plenty of opportunities to network with other professionals, including lunches and evening receptions.

"Very good conference with good usage of time."
Mark Mendonca, Program Risk Management, Ernst & Young

"Excellent conference. If there are numbers that vary, you should be here."
George Chiang, Independent Cost Analyst, Boeing Company

Register and Learn More
    » Register for only $295 – ask about volume discounts!
    » View the conference schedule
    » Learn about the ROI of attending

Get Your Hotel Room Now for $169 – Book Before Oct 9
Limited rooms available.
    » Book your room online at the Hilton Riverside for only $169
    » CALL 504-561-0500 and mention the Palisade Conference
       November 2015


Plan Ahead: Mainstream Support Ending for @RISK and DecisionTools Suite 5.x —
Upgrade Today!

Mainstream Support will end on December 31, 2015, for versions 5.x of the DecisionTools Suite, @RISK for Excel (including RISKOptimizer), Evolver, NeuralTools, PrecisionTree, StatTools, and TopRank. Only Extended Support will be available for those products after that date.

If you have a paid-up maintenance plan, complimentary technical support will remain available to you throughout the duration of your plan. As part of your maintenance plan, you are entitled to upgrade to the current version of your software at no charge! If you currently don’t have maintenance, you can upgrade your software to the new version 7 and receive 12 months of maintenance with your purchase.

    » To upgrade, call +1 607 277 8000 or email
    » More information about Extended Support
    » Learn more about @RISK 7
    » Learn more about DecisionTools Suite 7

BigPicture Case Study:
First Principles Consulting Improves
Operations for Mining Clients with BigPicture

Mining is a significant primary industry and contributor to the Australian economy. First Principles Consulting focuses on improving management and operational effectiveness for clients in the mining sector.

First Principles helps clients put systems in place that enable managers to do their jobs more efficiently, from the operational level to mid-management to the C-suite. This effective approach has everyone participating in a similar process of planning and getting work done, and then checking and adjusting plans to suit.

As part of the process of making an effective management plan, Patrick Mullen of FPC creates Value Driver Trees using BigPicture.

  » Read the full case study
  » Sign up for a BigPicture webinar

@RISKThe payback on BigPicture is a no-brainer.
     Payback comes in less than a day.
Trial Versions

                                  Patrick Mullen
                                  First Principles Consulting


Case Study
US National Marine Fisheries Service uses @RISK for Salmon Population Models
Scientists with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA’s) National Marine Fisheries Service used @RISK to model the effects of dams on the population viability of Atlantic salmon in the Penobscot River watershed, Maine. Their results showed that abundance and distribution upstream increased when dams in the primary downstream segments of the river, also called “mainstem dams”, were removed or fish passage survival was increased. The findings were recently published online in the ICES Journal of Marine Science.

  » Read the complete case study


Product Spotlight
The Three Stage Valuation Model
From Chapter 19 of Financial Models 2 - Using Simulation and Optimization by Wayne Winston, published by Palisade

Many analysts value firms using the three-stage cash flow (or dividend growth) model. This model assumes that the firm's cash flow will grow as follows:

  • Rate G(1) for Y(1) years.
  • Rate G(2) for next Y(2) years.
  • Rate G(3) for next Y(3) years.
  • Grow at terminal rate T rest of time.

Cash flows are then discounted at a rate from CAPM. Of course, G(1)-G(3) and Y(1)-Y(3) are unknown. With @RISK we can ask questions such as what is the probability that the stock is worth market value? 

 » Download the example model and step-by-step instructions



Introduction to BigPicture

   Presented by: Michelle Jackson, Palisade
   08 October - 10am EDT-Eastern US / 4pm CEST   » Register Now
   16 October - 1pm EDT-Eastern US / 7pm CEST   » Register Now
   27 October - 1pm EDT-Eastern US / 6pm CET   » Register Now

Introduction to Risk Analysis using @RISK (Risk Register Focus)
   Presented by: Palisade
   08 Oct. - 5am EDT-Eastern US / 11am CEST   » Register Now

Oil and Gas Applications of @RISK and DecisionTools Suite
   Presented by: Palisade
   13 Oct. - 1pm EDT-Eastern US / 7pm CEST   » Register Now

Introduction to Risk and Decision Analysis using
@RISK and the DecisionTools Suite

   Presented by: Palisade
   12 Nov. - 5am EST-Eastern US / 11am CET   » Register Now
   18 Nov. - 1pm EST-Eastern US / 7pm CET   » Register Now
   09 Dec. - 1pm EST-Eastern US / 7pm CET   » Register Now
   10 Dec. - 5am EST-Eastern US / 11am CET   » Register Now

Cost Estimation and Risk Registers using @RISK
   Presented by: Palisade
   08 Dec. - 1pm EST-Eastern US / 7pm CET   » Register Now

» See complete Webcast schedule


The Global Leader in Risk
and Decision Analysis

Palisade is the world's leading provider of risk and decision analysis software and solutions. Founded in 1984, its products @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite are used by over 95% of the Fortune 100, in nearly every industry around the world. Palisade is headquartered in New York State, and has offices in London, Sydney, Rio de Janeiro, and Tokyo.


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