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@RISK

Probabilistic Risk Analysis in Excel

See All Possible Outcomes using Monte Carlo Simulation

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Model Risks and Uncover New Opportunities

What are the chances of making money –or taking a loss–on your next venture? How about the probabilities of staying within budget or needing a contingency? Armed with that information, you could take the guesswork out of big decisions and plan strategies with confidence. With @RISK, you can answer these risk modeling questions and more–right in your Excel spreadsheet.

From the financial to the scientific, anyone who faces uncertainty in their quantitative analyses can benefit from @RISK. @RISK helps both Fortune 500 companies and private consultancies paint a realistic picture of possible scenarios. This allows businesses to not only buffer and mitigate risks, but also identify and exploit opportunities for growth.

How @RISK Works

@RISK (pronounced “at risk”) software is an add-in tool for Microsoft Excel that helps you make better decisions through risk modeling and analysis. It does this using a technique known as Monte Carlo simulation. @RISK’s Monte Carlo analysis computes and tracks many different possible future scenarios in your risk model, and shows you the probability of each occurring. In this way, @RISK shows you virtually all possible outcomes for any situation. This probabilistic approach makes @RISK a powerful tool that you can use to judge which risks to take and which ones to avoid—critical insight in today’s uncertain world.

Works with Microsoft Excel

Avoid Pitfalls and Uncover Opportunities with Risk Analysis

Plan Better Strategies

Model Risk Factors and Protect Yourself with Contingency Planning

Communicate Risk To Others

Industries using @RISK

Energy & Utilities

Insurance & Reinsurance

Finance & Banking

Manufacturing & Consumer Goods

Construction & Engineering

Aerospace & Defense

Customer Success Stories with @RISK

Learn how @RISK has helped decision makers to improve risk and decision analysis efforts.

P&G
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Robert Hunt
Associate Director for Investment Analysis, Procter & Gamble

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We’ve trained well over a thousand people throughout the company on @RISK, and rely on it for our entire range of investment decisions.

Petrobras
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Rafael Hartke
Financial Planning, Petrobras

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@RISK helps Petrobras reduce the calculation time for projections that used to take thousands of hours to a single day. If you multiply the saved hours by staff pay rates, you can get a pretty good picture of some huge cost savings.

Post
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Ulrik Mester
Risk Management Consultant at Post Danmark

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The combination of our data and @RISK's technology has given us the confidence to predict exactly what risks we face, as a result of which we do not need to pay so much for our insurance.

Lockheed Martin
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Michael Watson
Program Manager, Lockheed Martin

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@RISK really makes it a lot easier to handle large, complex systems in data analysis.

Deloitte
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Liran Blasbalg
Actuarial Analyst, Deloitte

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@RISK gives us the power to perform Monte Carlo methods in a single cell in Excel. This saves us time and simplifies the spreadsheets we work in.

Merck
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Art Misyan
Merck

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We love @RISK because it incorporates distribution fitting and gives us the flexibility to evaluate alternative distributions on screen.

How @RISK Is Used

@RISK enables endless applications, including these in:

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Investment Planning & Portfolio Optimization

Simulate multiple portfolio assets (such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or projects) to maximize return while minimizing risk. Calculate Value-at-Risk, or the probability of different losses on a portfolio.

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Cost Estimation

Get an accurate, probabilistic estimate of materials and labor costs throughout the entire project. Understand the likelihood of going over budget under a variety of scenarios.

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Engineering Reliability

Gain insight into confidence levels around the risk of equipment failure or safety violations using Six Sigma calculations. Identify areas of weakness to ensure quality results and prevent failures.

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Capital Reserves

Probabilistically forecast future claims or losses in order to determine optimal reserves levels. Perform stress testing on high-impact, low-probability events.

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Oil, Gas, & Mineral Reserves

Assess the likelihood of prospective sites containing oil, natural gas, metals, or other minerals. Probabilistically estimate reserves and production decline in order to make wise drilling decisions.

Investment Planning & Portfolio Optimization

man talking with clients

Investment Planning & Portfolio Optimization

Simulate multiple portfolio assets (such as stocks, bonds, real estate, or projects) to maximize return while minimizing risk. Calculate Value-at-Risk, or the probability of different losses on a portfolio.

Cost Estimation

Young businessman showing presentation to his colleagues

Cost Estimation

Get an accurate, probabilistic estimate of materials and labor costs throughout the entire project. Understand the likelihood of going over budget under a variety of scenarios.

Engineering Reliability

Business team briefing the idea concept before the next meeting

Engineering Reliability

Gain insight into confidence levels around the risk of equipment failure or safety violations using Six Sigma calculations. Identify areas of weakness to ensure quality results and prevent failures.

Capital Reserves

man pointing at computer screen

Capital Reserves

Probabilistically forecast future claims or losses in order to determine optimal reserves levels. Perform stress testing on high-impact, low-probability events.

Oil, Gas, & Mineral Reserves

man pointing at computer screen

Oil, Gas, & Mineral Reserves

Assess the likelihood of prospective sites containing oil, natural gas, metals, or other minerals. Probabilistically estimate reserves and production decline in order to make wise drilling decisions.

Monte Carlo Simulation

By sampling different possible inputs, @RISK calculates thousands of possible future outcomes, and the chances they will occur. This helps you avoid likely hazards—and uncover hidden opportunities.

100% Excel Integration

@RISK integrates seamlessly with Excel’s function set and ribbon, letting you work in a familiar environment with results you can trust.

Sensitivity Analysis

@RISK identifies and ranks the most important factors driving your risks, so you can plan strategies—and resources—accordingly.

Graphs and Reports

@RISK offers a wide variety of customizable, exportable graphing and reporting options that let you communicate risk to all stakeholders.

Extensive Modeling Features

With a broad library of probability distributions, data fitting tools, and correlation modeling, @RISK lets you represent any scenario in any industry with the highest level
of accuracy.

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Add Decision & Data Analysis with The DecisionTools Suite

The complete risk and decision analysis toolkit, including @RISK, PrecisionTree, TopRank, NeuralTools, StatTools, Evolver, and RISKOptimizer.

Additional Benefits

Subscription

Your software subscription has you fully covered.

  • Free upgrades when new software versions are released
  • Full access to Technical Support

Support

Technical Support is available to help with installation, operational problems, or errors.

  • Included with subscription
  • Phone, web, or email

Customizable

Leverage the power of @RISK in your own custom application with Palisade Custom Development.

  • Engage Palisade to design your solution
  • Standardize your analyses and reduce learning curves

Join decision-makers around the world who

RELY ON PALISADE.

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