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Dr. Chris Albright
Professor Emeritus of Operations & Decision Technologies, Kelley School of Business, Indiana University

Dr. Albright first joined Indiana University in 1972, and came to be known as the Quant Father at the Kelley School of Business. For nearly 40 years, he taught MBA students how to make better decisions. His professional interests and expertise are in spreadsheet modeling for optimization, statistical analysis and simulation, developing Excel add-ins for statistics, statistics for research, stochastic models in management science, quantitative methods for MBA core, web page development and database access with .NET, data mining, and VBA for Excel. Drawing from finance, marketing, and operations, Dr. Albright's teaching style has always been to analyze real business problems using practical quantitative techniques. He is the author and co-author of many leading MBA textbooks, including VBA for Modelers, Data Analysis and Decision Making (with Wayne Winston and Christopher Zappe), and Practical Management Science (with Wayne Winston). Dr. Albright also developed the statistical add-in StatPro for Excel, later developed as StatTools by Palisade Corporation. Currently, Dr. Albright provides training, development, and consulting services for Palisade Corporation.

Gregory Brink
Director of Risk Management and Principal Economist
Value Management Strategies, Inc.

Gregory Brink is the Director of Risk Management and Principal Economist for Value Management Strategies, Inc. (VMS), a Value Engineering and management consulting firm based in Escondido, CA. Mr. Brink is a Certified Value Specialist, Risk Management Professional, Project Management Professional, and Certified Cost Estimator/Analyst with extensive experience performing risk analysis, risk management, financial and life-cycle costing analysis, forecasting, value analysis, and economic impact analysis on projects of all scale and scope.  Mr. Brink’s specializations through the use of Value Methodology include quantitative/qualitative risk and uncertainty modeling and analysis, risk management, project management, financial analysis, economic analysis, market analysis, and economic forecasting for both private sector and government organizations. Mr. Brink’s experience includes working on infrastructure and vertical construction projects of varying scale and scope, ranging from a million dollars to multibillion dollar engagements in excess of $50 billion.

Britt Calloway
Lead Research and Development Engineer
Bastian Solutions

  • B.S. Mechanical Engineering, Virginia Tech
  • M.S. Mechanical Engineering Candidate, Purdue University
  • Six Sigma Green Belt, Villanova University
  • Certified Solidworks/Simulation Professional
  • 5 Years Mechanical Design Experience
  • Customers include Eli Lilly, Roche, Southern Wine and Spirits, Amway and HEB.
  • Several Patents Pending

As an R&D Engineer at Bastian, Britt is involved with assessing new technologies and applications for the material handling industry.  He is proficient in mechanical design, as well as Finite Element Analysis (FEA).  A six sigma green belt, Britt also has an interest for operations research and lean manufacturing.

Korey Campbell
Financial Analyst
Unison Consulting, Inc.

Korey Campbell has 18 years of experience in aviation finance and has expertise in capital planning, budgeting, and financial analysis. He has assisted clients in identifying and managing funding sources for major capital improvement projects and has performed financial analyses for master plans, bond feasibility studies, parking, and rental car projects for 25 airports.  He functioned as an extension of staff at Lambert-St. Louis International Airport during the Airport Development Program and was responsible for the day to day management, maintenance and implementation of the $1.1 billion program budget.  Korey also assisted Dallas Love Field in setting up a database that allows airport management to manage and monitor its modernization program.

Prior to joining Unison, Korey was employed by Northwest Airlines as an analyst in corporate finance and later as a finance manager for the design and construction of the $1.2 billion McNamara terminal and related facilities at Wayne County Detroit Metropolitan Airport.  While in Detroit, he developed and managed the project’s budget, reviewed contracts and change orders and worked with project managers to forecast cash flow and maximize funding efficiency.  During the project he represented Northwest Airlines on bond issues, led the process and performed the analyses that determined the final PFC eligibility for the project.

Korey has an M.B.A. from the University of Georgia, a B.S. from the University of Alabama.

Perry Cole
A & D Engineering, PLLC

Perry Cole, President of A & D Engineering, PLLC, has over 30 years of structural and civil engineering experience in planning, design, and construction of water resource and hydroelectric projects.  His experience includes all primary structural materials, most major design codes, and the design requirements of the Army Corps of Engineers. His primary area of interest is water resource related civil structures such as inland navigation projects, gates, intake/outlet works; dams; flood control structures; and fishery related facilities.  Perry is an expert in design of hydraulic concrete and steel structures, soil/structure systems, shallow and deep foundations, and soil retaining structures.  His experience includes design of new facilities, major renovation of existing projects, and design of specialty and prototype equipment and facilities.  He uses @RISK to develop probabilistic analyses for the design of new structures and the renovation of existing facilities.

Perry is a Fellow of the American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE), a member of both the Structural Engineering Institute and Geo-Institute of the ASCE, and is the President Elect for the Seattle Section.  He previously served the Seattle Section as the Chair of the University Advising Committee, Director - Technical Committees, and Chair of the Water Resources and Environmental Committee.  He chaired the Structural Engineers Association of Washington (SEAW) Refresher Course Committee and taught the Foundation and Retaining Structures and Analysis sessions of the SEAW Refresher Course.  He twice received the SEAW President’s Award for Outstanding Service.  Perry recently served multiple terms as the President of the Ames Lake Water Association Board of Directors.

He attended the University of Washington (BSCE and MSCE) and is a registered Professional Engineer (Civil and Structural) in Washington and California.

Brian Drake
Senior Consultant
Unison Consulting, Inc.

Brian Drake is a Senior Consultant at Unison Consulting, Inc., a leading aviation consulting firm with five major practice areas: (1) Airport Finance & Economics; (2) Airport Retail Concessions Planning & Management; (3) Information Systems; (4) Program Management and Control Services and (5) Surveys and Quantitative Research. Brian has been working for four years as a member of Unison’s Airport Finance & Economics team on airport rate-setting, capital investment financial planning, airline lease negotiations, and financial feasibility studies.  Brian previously worked at BP global oil trading division as a risk analyst and trading analyst. Brian holds an M.B.A. degree with a concentration in Finance and Strategic Management from Purdue University, and a B.A. degree in Finance from Howard University.

Clayton Graham
Management Consultant
Department of Management, DePaul University

Clay Graham is a management consultant specializing in analytical and graphic econometrics. His formal education includes a B.S. from Purdue and graduate degrees in Economics (M.A.) and Business (M.B.A. - Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University). He was a NASA Scholar (National Aeronautical and Space Administration) during his Ph.D. studies at Northwestern (concentration in advanced large scale computer modeling and mathematical simulation.) Clay has functioned in various advisory capacities to Purdue and Northwestern Universities. His entrée into the education field first came while a volunteer for a citizens group in Barrington (evaluating academics, finances and taxes). During that project, creation of integrated databases and innovative statistical modeling drew the interest of many professionals and resulted in his presentations to: The White House, Illinois State Board of Education, Center for Governmental Studies (Northern Illinois University) and many boards of education.

Prior to his current undertakings, he was CEO of an upstart aerospace, laser mapping and engineering firm. He’s brought with him years of practical management and leadership experience from the metal finishing industry where he owned and operated his own firms in the Chicago area. He introduced effective statistical process control technology to many firms including: Motorola, Siemens and Ford. He served that industry by being president of the local trade association, a director of several national alliances and sitting on industry standardization and quality committees.

Prior to running his own companies, Graham was with one of the world's foremost Management Consulting firms - A.T.Kearney, lnc. where he introduced cutting edge computer and mathematical modeling to the transportation and service distribution industries. Clay has written and published extensively in the areas of: profitability and control, marketing, financial risk, computer integrated manufacturing and technology. He has been a featured and keynote speaker at many trade association and professional conclaves. He was awarded the top technical paper in the world at the SECOND ASIAN METAL FINISHING FORUM (part of the Tokyo World Exposition). At INTEREX EUROPE (Hewlett-Packard users) he presented an award winning work on a fully integrated system of research and development, process control and management integrating: personal computers, micro-systems, programmable controllers and digital-analog interfaces. He was also the subject of a press conference by Alteon Networks at Networld + Interop (Atlanta 1998) where he introduced the first commercial application of large file transfer incorporating “Jumbo Frame Technology”.

Clay and his companies have been the subject of articles in Forbes, Business Week, Modern Metals, Industrial Finishing and Arthur Andersen's Small Business Forum. In addition, the methods incorporated in the management of his firms have been utilized in academic case studies in the United States and Western Europe. He was selected to speak on “The Management of Professional Advisors” before a joint session of the American Bar Association and American Institute of Certified Public Accountants.

He has served as an Advisor to the White House, Members of Congress in the areas of economics, environmental control and management strategy. More recently, he now consults with professional baseball.

Dr. Huybert Groenendaal
Managing Partner
EpiX Analytics

As managing partner, Dr. Huybert Groenendaal helps clients using risk analysis modeling techniques in a broad range of consulting projects in fields and industries that, among others, include forecasting, financial risk analysis, project costs estimation, pharmaco-economics, epidemiology, inventory optimization, mining and transportation. Dr. Groenendaal has extensive experience in risk modeling and analysis for business development, financial valuation, R&D portfolios and portfolio evaluations in pharmaceuticals and medical devices.

Dr. Groenendaal teaches a variety of risk analysis training courses including Risk Modeling in Drug Development, Financial Risk Modeling for Pharmaceuticals, Quantitative Risk Analysis, Introduction to Quantitative Project Cost and Schedule Risk Analysis, Corporate Finance Risk Analysis and customized courses at client-sites. He also lectures on the use of risks modeling in business at the executive MBA program at the Leeds School of Business, University of Colorado at Denver and at the school of Management at the University of Texas at Dallas, and teaches two online risk analysis courses at

Dr. Groenendaal is an adjunct professor at Colorado State University and mentor at the Wharton Customer Analytics Initiative, Wharton School of Business. He has been an invited speaker at numerous international conferences and has published papers in various scientific journals.

Rafael Hartke
Oil and Energy Industry Consultant
Palisade Corporation

Rafael Hartke is an Oil and Energy Industry Consultant at Palisade Corporation, where he works in the development and strategy of quantitative risk analysis methods. He has particular experience in the energy industry, having served as a Financial Engineer in Risk Management at Brazilian-based energy corporation, Petrobras, in the Financial Planning and Risk Management department. There, he created risk models for complex investments and assessed project risks for medium and large projects, including Brazilian Pre-Salt giant fields, projects in the Gulf of Mexico, and offshore infrastructure projects.  

Rafael has an MSc degree in Mechanical Engineering and is also a Global Association of Risk Professionals certified Energy Risk Professional.

Rafael’s main interests and activities include:

  • Development of mathematical models in engineering and finance
  • Modeling of complex investment projects (risks, options, real options)
  • Monitoring, econometric modeling and forecasting of time series (commodity prices, commodity demands and financial series)
  • Research and training in risk analysis and Monte Carlo simulation

Timothy J. Havranek
Vice President / Principal

Mr. Havranek is a Vice President of Business Solutions and Risk Management with Cardno ENTRIX with over 25 combined years' experience in the environmental remediation and the oil and gas production industries. Mr. Havranek has managed numerous large-scale environmental projects throughout industry, working with multiple site owners, regulatory agencies, and other stakeholders in the development of strategic and sustainable business liability and asset management solutions to minimize environmental and social risk. He is highly skilled in the application of quantitative decision analysis and probabilistic modeling to facilitate strategic planning for environmental projects, having developed a wide range of successful decision analysis models for more than 400 sites. Mr. Havranek holds an MBA degree from Carnegie Mellon University and a Bachelors Degree in Petroleum Engineering from Marietta College. He is a Certified Project Management Professional (PMP) and author of the book Modern Project Management Techniques for the Environmental Remediation Industry.

Randy Heffernan
Vice President
Palisade Corporation

Randy Heffernan started with Palisade in 1997, and helped the company expand with its first overseas office in Plymouth, England, in 1998. Further geographic expansions included London in 2002 and Sydney, Australia in 2005. He has held a variety of roles in sales, marketing, and management, and currently oversees much of the corporate operations. Randy works closely with the sales staff to understand client needs and liaise with software development. Randy holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Business Management and Marketing, and an MBA, both from Cornell University.

Keith D. Hornbacher
Affiliated Faculty, Organizational Dynamics Graduate Programs University of Pennsylvania
Principal Consultant, Hornbacher Associates

Keith D. Hornbacher, MBA, is a project risk management educator and an experienced practitioner. He is in his sixth year as a member of Affiliated Faculty in Organizational Dynamics Graduate Programs, University of Pennsylvania. Mr. Hornbacher, founder and principal consultant of Hornbacher Associates, leads seminars of mid-career and senior professionals and advises capstone candidates while they write theses for their Master’s degree. His research interests are in unique challenges faced by global virtual project teams, the dynamics of unknowns in complex project systems, and roles of independent review in effective project governance. Graduate courses he leads include Managing Project Risk, Uncertainty, and the Unexpected; Quantitative Project Cost/Schedule Risk Analysis; and Decision-Making Under Uncertainty.

During the period of 2009 – 2011, as an independent sub-contractor Mr. Hornbacher assessed program/project risk of NASA’s SOFIA science program (an exploration of the universe with infrared technology), ICESat-2 (an earth orbit satellite designed to measure polar ice thickness, sea ice flows, and rain forest canopies), lead program/project schedule and risk audits for the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), conducted cost/schedule risk analyses of a Mexican energy project, and performed schedule risk assessments of a U.S. Navy aircraft carrier automated landing system development program.

For more than 25 years Mr. Hornbacher has been leading teams in Monte Carlo simulation of complex projects. In 1993, he founded Hornbacher Associates following a decade developing quantitative cost/schedule risk analysis methods and software as an executive in a Los Angeles based firm. Signature achievements include project risk assessments of stealth aircraft technology and integrated cost/schedule risks of the Canadian North Atlantic off-shore oil drilling platform, Hibernia.

Direct project experience and academic research range from mega-projects to incubator-sized startups. His work with industries across the globe demonstrates scalability and portability of protocols documented in the Practice Standard for Project Risk Management (2009) and the PMBOK® Guide, 4thed. (2008), both published by the Project Management Institute (PMI®).

Mr. Hornbacher’s commitment to professional organizations includes roles as a designated Subject Management Expert (SME) in the PMI® virtual Risk Management Community of Practice, and as a contributor to revisions of the PMBOK® Guide. He is a member of an MBA advisory council (University of St. Thomas), a senior member of the Institute of Industrial Engineers, and a past director of the International Council on Systems Engineering (INCOSE) Northstar Chapter. Mr. Hornbacher was awarded the academic degrees of Bachelor of Science (BSci) from Iowa State University-Ames, and Master of Business Administration (MBA) from Minnesota State University-Mankato.

Leigh Hostetter
Senior Economist

Ms. Hostetter is a senior member of Cardno ENTRIX’s Business Solutions and Risk Management Group. This practice focuses on helping clients value their environmental and natural services in their decision making. Ms. Hostetter specializes in applying quantitative and probabilistic methods to help improve client decision making and project planning processes. To accomplish this goal, Ms. Hostetter applies high level modeling of risk and uncertainty, statistics, process and progress tracking tools to projects. Leigh is a certified project management professional (PMP) and has presented findings from her work in numerous academic papers and conferences. Ms. Hostetter has over 9 years of consulting experience working with both public and private clients on industrial, infrastructure and environmental projects. Prior to consulting, Ms. Hostetter worked on Wall Street as an Equity Analyst.

Vernon Kinley
Professional Consultant
Unison Consulting, Inc.

Vernon Kinley has 33 years of combined experience in the airline and automotive industries. He began his career as an economist for the McDonnell Douglas commercial aircraft division where he worked with numerous international airlines and agencies to develop economic and traffic forecasts as well as various planning studies in the pricing and fleet planning areas. He also developed domestic and international studies in support of the corporate planning effort at Douglas aircraft. Mr. Kinley has extensive experience in market research and analysis. During his tenure in the automobile and commercial truck industries, he was responsible for various corporate planning and market analysis functions and took part in the development of numerous market research studies. Since joining Unison, Mr. Kinley has prepared market assessments, economic impact analysis and developed aviation, parking, and rental car activity forecasts for a number of airports.

Vernon holds an MBA from the University of Southern California and a B.A. in Economics from the University of California, Los Angeles.

J. Todd Larson
Certified Financial Analyst
Citium Wealth Management, LLC

Todd Larson received his MBA in Finance and Operations from Indiana University (and learned @RISK from Professor Wayne Winston, author of many Palisade books).  After graduate school he spent 5 years with Procter & Gamble, where he worked with the Crest Toothpaste brand and in Treasury, where he helped manage all Fx and interest rate hedges.  After P&G, he spent 7 years with in a variety of finance roles, including Finance Director of US Retail.  Today he owns and manages Citium Wealth Management, which applies Modern Portfolio Theory to the investments of high net worth clients.  For the last 5 years, he has also been an adjunct professor in the MBA program at Seattle University, where he teaches Advanced Corporate Finance and Investment Management.  He and his two daughters reside on Bainbridge Island, which is a short ferry ride from downtown Seattle.

Bin Liu
Program Manager
Cisco Systems

Bin Liu is a program manager for the Supply Chain Network Design & Management team at CISCO. He coordinates with various business units within CISCO on a range of projects including designing and providing solutions to mitigate risk, improving lead time performance and supporting cost effect growth strategies.
He has over 10 years of experience in supply chain network design and supply chain operations with a specialization in supply chain optimization & modeling, risk management, data visualization and project management.

He holds two Master degrees; an M.E. in Supply Chain Management from MIT and an M. S. in Operations Research from George Mason University. 

Andre Lowe
New Venture Manager
Intel Corporation

Andre Lowe works at Intel Corporation as a New Venture Manager in the Incubation and Innovation Group (IIG).  IIG looks for disruptive business concepts inside Intel, works to develop the business model and strategy, and evaluates the market potential.  IIG then values and optimizes the portfolio of business options and selectively funds them in a VC-like model.  The mid-term goal for each business is to staff the venture with entrepreneurial-minded experts, to fund them through a series of tech-readiness milestones, and then to find good external funding partners to help bring each business to a semi-autonomous state.

In prior roles inside Intel, Andre has worked in equipment negotiations, treasury accounting, risk management, and helped start up Intel’s Automotive Solutions Division.  Andre regularly teaches many of Intel’s advanced financial valuation classes, such as Real Options, Monte Carlo analysis and Decision tree analysis.  Prior to Intel, Andre was the director of an independent video games developer.

Andre lives in Scottsdale, AZ with his two children (aged 4 and 6) and his wife.  Between work and kids, there isn’t much free time, but in the past Andre has enjoyed kickball, motorcycles, rugby and polo.

Dr. Mark Manfredo
Morrison School of Agribusiness and Resource Management,
College of Technology and Innovation, Arizona State University

Dr. Mark Manfredo is a Professor in the Morrison School of Agribusiness and Resource Management in the College of Technology and Innovation at Arizona State University.  His research program focuses on commodity price analysis and agribusiness risk management, with particular emphasis on futures and options markets and price forecasting.  His work has appeared in leading agricultural economics and agribusiness journals including the American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Agribusiness: An International Journal, and Agricultural Finance Review, as well as journals outside the discipline including the Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, Energy Economics, Applied Financial Economics, and the Journal of Supply Chain Management among others.  Dr. Manfredo recently served as the co-chairman of the NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management (2007-2011).  At Arizona State University, he teaches courses in futures and options markets and agribusiness finance at both the undergraduate and graduate levels, and also serves as a Faculty Honors Advisor for Barrett, The Honors College.  In 2007, he received ASU’s Faculty Achievement Award for Teaching/Instruction Excellence by the Office of the Provost, and was also presented with the Western Agricultural Economics Association “Outstanding Undergraduate Teaching Award” that same year.  He currently serves on the Educational Foundation Board of the Arizona Food Marketing Alliance (AFMA).  Dr. Manfredo has a Ph.D. in Agricultural Economics from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign. 

Dr. Glenn “Max” McGee
Illinois Mathematics and Science Academy

Dr. Glenn “Max” McGee is recognized as a dynamic leader, speaker and writer on critical issues
in educational policy and practice. Since 2007, he has served as President of the Illinois
Mathematics and Science Academy, a residential academy that educates the top math and
science students in Illinois and is active in statewide outreach programs. As President, Dr.
McGee has expanded IMSA’s statewide presence with the opening of three field offices. In
2009, he led the Academy to receive Intel’s “Star Innovator Award” as the top high school in
America, and has guided the Academy through a period of significant financial challenges. He
continually works for the good of all students and was instrumental in the revision and passage
of the new Illinois State Report Card, which was passed unanimously by the Illinois General
Assembly. In addition, Dr. McGee collaborates with schools worldwide to bring students and
educators together to research, discuss and design solutions to the most challenging problems
facing our world.

Prior to coming to IMSA, Dr. McGee served as a former Illinois State Superintendent of
Education and has been a teacher, principal and district superintendent. He serves on the board
of directors of the Golden Apple Foundation, the Great Books Foundation, the Governor’s P-20
Council, the Illinois Association for Gifted Children, as well as the Diversifying Higher
Education Faculty in Illinois. Dr. McGee is a regular speaker at state and national conferences,
has published several articles and coauthored two books, most recently The Perfect School. Dr.
McGee’s published research on high achieving, high poverty schools that have closed the
achievement gap has garnered state and national attention for identifying how schools and
communities can help all students succeed.

Dr. McGee’s mission is to make an enduring difference in the lives of all children and share his
passionate commitment to and support for Illinois’ educational leaders. He credits his family
with being his inspiration. He and his wife, Jan, the Executive Director of the Associated
Colleges of Illinois’ Center for Success in High Needs Schools, have three children, one
grandson and two granddaughters. Max has retired from running marathons, but is still an avid
and successful triathlete.

Sam McLafferty
President and CEO
Palisade Corporation

Sam McLafferty is Palisade's founder, president, and CEO. He started the company in 1984 with the release of PRISM, a stand-alone Monte Carlo simulation package for DOS on the PC. PRISM later evolved into @RISK for Lotus 1-2-3, and then for Excel. Sam is Palisade's lead developer, with over thirty years of programming experience. He works closely with the technical and sales staff, ensuring that customer feedback is heard. He personally oversees the development and evolution of every one of the fifteen software products Palisade sells. Prior to Palisade, he was a risk analysis consultant.

Chirag Mehta
Hydro-Mechanical Engineer
Black & Veatch

Chirag has over 7 years of experience in Mechanical Engineering and Project Management, providing consulting services in the area of hydropower facilities, navigation locks, dams, levees, fish facilities and flood control facilities.  He has performed mechanical and structural inspection and analyzes on bridge cranes, gantry cranes, hoists, valves, gates and various other machine elements.  He has experience preparing plans and specifications of the mechanical systems, and performing mechanical engineering design and finite element analysis.

Chirag’s expertise is in performing multi-disciplinary facility-wide risk assessments, screening level assessments, detail on-site inspections and data collection, dam and levee safety modifications, engineering reliability analysis, and developing risk remediation alternatives. He has experience working with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Risk & Reliability Directorate of Expertise in developing tools for predicting reliability of mechanical and electrical systems for public safety and asset management.  He has used @RISK in performing linear and non-linear Monte Carlo Simulations, cost-benefit economic analysis on variety of heavy civil infrastructure projects leading to risk-based decision making process for asset management and developing national economic development plans for the Corps. 

He holds a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering degree from Nirma University (India) and a M.S. in Mechanical Engineering degree from University of Southern California.  He is also a registered Professional Engineer and a certified Project Management Professional.

Patrick Murray
Senior Economist
HDR, Inc.

Patrick Murray is a Senior Economist with HDR Decision Economics.  He has over 8 years of experience in supporting infrastructure construction programs through quantitative methods. His work has supported capital projects for federal, state and local clients in the transportation, water, and energy sectors. His analytical support for management decisions has included risk management analyses, cost-benefit analyses, freight planning, business case analysis, financial analysis and statistical methods. 

Mr. Murray has played a key role at HDR in developing many of the modeling processes for the risk management analysis, benefit-cost analysis, and other risk based analytical support. He has led efforts within HDR to develop risk-based methods to account for cost escalation in key materials.

Prior to joining HDR, Mr. Murray was a research assistant in the University of Alaska School of Fisheries where his work included research topics in fisheries management and market conditions.  He has a Master of Science in Resource and Applied Economics from University of Alaska Fairbanks.

Dr. Jay Noel
Chair of the Agribusiness Department
California Polytechnic State University

Dr. Jay Noel is the Chair of the Agribusiness Department at the College of Agriculture, Food, and Environmental Sciences at Cal Poly, San Luis Obispo.  His research interests include economic analysis of agricultural trade issues, natural resource allocation, quantitative analysis of agricultural production and marketing, and analysis of agricultural cooperative performance. He is the author and coauthor of a number of popular and academic articles on agricultural management, marketing, and natural resource allocation issues. Specialties: International Trade Issues; Agribusiness Marketing and Management; Water and Natural Resource Allocation Issues. Dr. Noel received his PhD in agricultural economics from UC Davis.

Dr. Javier Ordóñez
Director of Custom Solutions
Palisade Corporation

Dr Javier Ordóñez holds a BS in Civil Engineering from the Universidad de Cuenca, Ecuador and a MS in Project Management from the University of Maryland. Javier earned his PhD from the University of Maryland performing research on project risk analysis. His current research deals with cost and schedule integration and correlation issues through the use of Bayesian belief networks.

Javier's experience is in the areas of construction and project management, optimal project and capital investments selection, earned value management, engineering and project risk analysis, and operations research applications to engineering and management problems.

Javier has taught as an adjunct professor in the Project Management Program at University of Maryland and provides training in risk and decision analysis. He is also registered as a Project Management Professional (PMP).

Matthew H. Rosenberg, CPA, CFA
Managing Partner
RoseCap Investment Advisors, LLC

Mr. Rosenberg is Managing Partner for RoseCap Investment Advisors, LLC, a private investment management and financial planning firm in Boulder, CO. Among other things, his responsibilities include portfolio management, formulating investment strategy, and development of financial models for use by the firm. Throughout his career Mr. Rosenberg has developed financial models for numerous large and small companies across multiple asset classes/sectors, investment vehicles, and asset types.

Prior to founding RoseCap, Mr. Rosenberg was Managing Director with Jackson Oats Shaw Corporate Real Estate, a privately held real estate firm in Atlanta, GA. Mr. Rosenberg also previously served as Vice President/AE with General Electric‘s Commercial Finance Division. He started his career in investment banking, underwriting and syndicating leveraged loans and high yield bonds for Wachovia Securities in Charlotte, NC.

Mr. Rosenberg received his Masters degree in Accounting and Bachelor of Business Administration from The University of Texas, at Austin, where he was also a member of the 2002 National Championship baseball team. He enjoys reading and competing in numerous sports, and also serves as a lecturer of finance, investments, and accounting for Colorado Mesa University, in Grand Junction, CO.

Mark S. Rudd
Rudd Asset Management (RAM)

With over 40 years of experience in the energy business and a diverse business background, Mark believes the DecisionTools Suite and @RISK are a great fit. Use of the Palisade software has become a core strength of RAM energy consulting.

Today, that combination allows Rudd Asset Management to apply Monte Carlo simulation and the power of statistics to reduce project uncertainty. Once variables are modeled and simulated, a project can be optimized to maximize revenues while reducing expenses using 40 years of actual plant experience.

Mark holds a BSE in Nuclear Engineering from Purdue University and an MBA from the University of Chicago. He also obtained the following designations from the Association of Energy Engineers:

  • Certified Energy Manager (CEM)
  • Certified Energy Auditor (CEA)
  • Certified Demand-Side Management Professional (CDSM)
  • Certified Energy Procurement Professional (CEP)
  • Certified Sustainable Development Professional (CSDP)
  • Certified Business Energy Professional( BEP)

Dr. Sharon Sarmiento
Aviation Consultant
Unison Consulting, Inc.

Dr. Sharon Sarmiento has 24 years of professional experience as an economist, including the last 15 years in aviation consulting. As Principal of Unison Consulting, Inc., Sharon leads the firm’s consulting services in airport economics, and has completed numerous projects involving transportation demand forecasting and economic analysis for more than 50 airports. In recent years, Sharon has spearheaded the integration of risk analysis using Monte Carlo simulation in Unison’s work involving demand modeling for air transportation and related airport services, benefit-cost analysis of airport capital projects, and airport financial modeling.

Sharon holds a Ph.D. in Economics from University of California, Irvine, with specialization in urban economics, transportation economics and applied econometrics. She holds an M.A. in mathematical behavioral sciences from the University of California, Irvine; an M.A. in international and development economics from Yale University; and a B.S. in business economics (cum laude) from the University of the Philippines.

Dr. Vladimir Savin
Chief QA Engineer
EPAM Systems

Dr. Vladimir Savin has 25 years of research and software development (PL/I OS IBM/360, C/C++ PC), creation and implementation of Industrial Project Management Systems for Nuclear and Thermal Power Plants. For that purpose system development strategy, vision, requirements, design, mathematical models, algorithms, database and software had been developed. He worked as Senior Research Officer, Ph.D. at Belarus Scientific Research Heat Engineering Institute and Belarus State University as Lecturer in IT.

From 1998 Dr. Vladimir Savin worked at Client-Server Programs Ltd., Galaktika Corporation as Project Manager, at SemiTech as Quality Director, at ScienceSoft as Process Manager, at EPAM Systems as Chief QA Engineer for CMMI, ISO 9001, ISO 27001, SAS70, COBIT implementation and support.  

Anthony Sclafani
Project Development Engineer
Apollo Solutions Group

Mr. Sclafani leads the technical and financial development of energy efficiency and renewable energy projects for existing buildings.  His projects are characterized by the delivery of guaranteed energy savings for a guaranteed fixed price and typically range in price from $1M-$50M.  Mr. Sclafani is responsible for determining the optimal investment of his customers' capital into various energy systems while managing the risks of the cost and performance guarantees.  He uses energy simulation software and quantitative risk analysis tools to manage these risks.  Mr. Sclafani is a registered Professional Engineer in the State of California and holds a Master of Science in Mechanical Engineering from San Diego State University as well as a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering from Milwaukee School of Engineering.

Steven Slezak
California Polytechnic State University

Steven Slezak has nearly 30 years experience in strategic business planning and in financial planning and analysis. He has utilized Palisade software since 1998. His consulting practice serves clients in health care, agribusiness, and education. He has particular expertise in financial and market risk management, and has worked as a risk manager for energy companies and a Chicago trading firm.

Mr. Slezak is also a Lecturer in the College of Agriculture, California Polytechnic State University, San Luis Obispo, where he teaches finance and credit, strategic planning, linear programming, and trade and development. He has also taught fixed income securities and business calculus at Cal Poly. He previously taught corporate financial management and financial mathematics at the Carey Business School at Johns Hopkins University.

He holds a BS in international studies from Georgetown University and an MBA in Finance from Johns Hopkins University.

Dr. William Strauss
FutureMetrics, LLC

Dr. William Strauss is the founder and president of FutureMetrics. FutureMetrics is the recognized leading US consultancy in the economics of the production and use of biomass fuels. Dr. Strauss is also a founder and a Director of Maine Energy Systems. Maine Energy Systems’ (MESys) primary mission is to support a transition to the use of renewable wood pellet fuel for heating of homes and businesses.

Bill Strauss is the chief economist for the Biomass Thermal Energy Council (Washington, DC) and is the chief economist for the Maine Pellet Fuels Association. Bill served as the chief economist on the Maine Governor’s Wood-to-Energy Task force in 2008-2009. 

He has an MBA (specializing in Finance) and a PhD (Economics and Earth Systems Science) both from the University of New Hampshire.

Bill has published a book titled The Myth of Endless Growth: Exposing Capitalism’s Unsustainablity (ISBN 978-0-557-62496-6).

Bill enjoys mountain biking in the summer and skiing in the winter.  He has logged more than one million vertical feet helicopter skiing in British Columbia, Canada.

Basil Stumborg
Senior Business Strategy Advisor
Finance Group, BC Hydro

The mandate of the Finance Group is to support better decision making across the company. This means both introducing, teaching, and carrying out structured decision making processes as well as supporting best practice around risk analysis and communication.

Mr. Stumborg is just completing the decision analysis / risk assessment for BC Hydro’s Long Term Acquisition Plan for meeting the Province’s energy needs. This work is included in the introduction of a Risk Framework to help characterize the uncertainty around the supply and demand side options as well as to capture the key uncertainties on the planning horizon such as GHG offset costs, demand growth, natural gas prices etc.

Basil Stumborg's other current role is to set up and promulgate Triple Bottom Line decision-making across the company. This structured decision making approach incorporates tools from decision analysis and risk analysis in a way that allows multiple objective tradeoffs to be done rigorously and transparently.

He has done graduate work in Economics (MSc and beyond) at the University of Wisconsin-Madison where his interest was in choice under uncertainty and the valuation of non-market goods. He also has an MA in economics from McGill University.

Chris Taber
Director of Commercial Operations & Planning
Ikaria, Inc.

Chris Taber is the Director of Commercial Operations & Planning for Ikaria, Inc. He directs commercial analytics at Ikaria and develops forward-looking models to forecast commercial outcomes as well as potential outcomes of product development decisions under consideration.  Prior to joining Ikaria, Chris worked in management consulting in the US and in Europe, focusing mainly on retail strategy.  He holds a BA from Princeton and an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin. 

Ikaria, Inc. is a critical care company focused on developing and commercializing innovative therapies designed to address the significant needs of critically ill patients in the hospital and ICU settings. The company’s lead product is INOMAX® (nitric oxide) for inhalation, the only FDA-approved drug for the treatment of hypoxic respiratory failure associated with pulmonary hypertension in term and near-term infants. Ikaria is headquartered in Hampton, NJ, with research facilities in Madison, WI, and manufacturing facilities in Port Allen, LA and Madison, WI.

Thompson Terry
Senior Training Consultant
Palisade Corporation

Thompson Terry is a senior member of Palisade’s training and consulting staff. With more than 15 years of experience at Palisade, including eight in technical support, he is recognized as an expert in all Palisade software products and their applications.

Thompson has led numerous training seminars for hundreds of professionals on risk and decision analysis, and provided customized onsite training in a variety of industries including insurance, manufacturing, pharmaceuticals, defense, and food safety. Clients Thompson has trained include: The Hartford, Unilever, Duratek, Eastman Chemical, Canadian Food Inspection Agency, National Rail (UK), RWE Thames Water (UK), National Gas Company of Trinidad & Tobago, Stone & Webster, and Northrop-Grumman.

Thompson holds a BS in Agricultural Economics from Cornell University with specializations in economics, marketing, and finance.

Gustavo Vinueza
Consultant and Trainer
Palisade Corporation

Gustavo Vinueza is a Systems Engineer from University in Cuenca, Ecuador. He also earned an MBA from Torcuato Di Tella University in Argentina and a Ms. In Finance from Adolfo Ibáñez University in Chile. His main topics of interest include financial and operational modeling, including scientific and academic research into business practice as well as data mining relative matters. He has 16 years of experience and he’s been a consultant for companies in several industries: finance & banking, telecommunications, insurance and IT related services.

His experience includes managing Project portfolios both operational and IT related, cost reduction programs, public purchases bidding, operational controls, capacity analysis and audit processes and software development projects, besides technological infrastructure implementation. He has also earned diplomas in Project Management, Usability, Business Process Management and Business Analytics.

Erik Westwig
Software Engineer
Palisade Corporation

Erik Westwig received his BS in 1991 and MS in 1994 from the applied and engineering physics department at Cornell University. In 1998 he published the book Mathematical Physics with co-author Bruce Kusse, which was re-released in its second edition in 2006. Since 1995, Erik has worked as a software engineer at Palisade as part of the DecisionTools Suite development team.

Dr. Ok-Youn Yu
Assistant Professor
Appalachian State University

Dr. Ok-Youn Yu is an assistant professor in the Department of Technology and Environmental Design at Appalachian State University, NC, USA. He earned his Ph.D. from the Zachry Department of Civil Engineering at Texas A&M University in May 2009. He received his M.S. in Construction Management from Texas A&M University and before that he worked in South Korea as a bridge and tunnel engineer for nearly five years. He is a licensed Professional Engineer in Texas. His research interests include risk and decision analysis for project system management, renewable energy monitoring system development, infrastructure sustainability, stochastic design of an early warning system for structural failure, and building information modeling (BIM).



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