High Octane Risk Analysis Product
Races into New Market.
Palisade Corporation continues to meet
global accessibility demands for @RISK,
the world’s most powerful risk analysis tool,
with
its Italian language version. This latest release underscores increasing
demand from organizations in
the finance, heavy industry,
and government sectors of the
Italian economy to seamlessly
factor risk into business decision
making processes.
continue below
Seminar Schedule
:: Regional Seminars
Risk and Decision Assessment Training using @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite
June 5–6, Kansas City, KS
June 12–13, Ithaca, NY
July 10–11, Seattle, WA
July 24–25, Montreal, QB
Project Risk Assessment
using @RISK for Project
July 31–Aug 1, Ithaca, NY
:: Live Web Training
Risk and Decision Assessment Using @RISK: Part I
June 1–2
June 29–30
July 17–18
Risk and Decision Assessment Using @RISK: Part II
June 15–16
July 20–21
Expert Answers to
Technical Questions
Dear Amy,
How do I interpret the Y-axis of the histograms that are generated after I run an @RISK simulation?
— R. E.
Dear R.E.,
@RISK provides two different types of histograms: Relative Frequency histograms and Probability Density histograms.
Relative Frequency histograms are created by:
- Dividing the data into intervals.
- Calculating the fraction of data values in each interval.
Palisade Featured in Quality Digest
Highlighting the growing popularity of Palisade tools in the quality control community, trade leader Quality Digest recently published the article, Neural Networks Software Crunches the Big Numbers by Palisade’s Miroslaw Janusz, Ph.D. The article highlights NeuralTools, Palisade’s new Neural Networks software, and explains why neural networks are particularly well adapted at addressing problems with quality control and industrial processing. Offering the reader a guided tour of how “neurons” and networks function, Dr. Janusz demonstrates the wide range of complex phenomena that NeuralTools can be used to predict—from snack food flavor to energy prices to the cost of capital.
:: Sophisticated Weaponry
NeuralTools is the latest arrow in Palisade’s quiver of quality control tools. @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite have proved themselves in developing Six Sigma programs and training staff in techniques to carry out those programs, as well as production floor quality. Two notable examples are Cummins’s Six Sigma program, which relies on @RISK, and Met-Mex Peñoles use of 
the DecisionTools Suite to control waste of silver and gold in its refining of precious metals. Today’s quality control programs also rely heavily on statistics, and StatTools offers companies easy ways to train employees in statistics and data analysis, and to integrate their analyses in simulation and Neural Networks predictions.
:: Common Denominator: Ease of Use
What do all these tools have in common that appeals to the folks in quality control? Intuitive ease of use. The quantitative techniques required for Six Sigma and other quality control programs can be daunting. But as Cummins’s Ernest Lifferth points out, “We aren’t necessarily interested in turning our engineers into statisticians, but we are interested in enabling engineers to use statistics—and @RISK is a great tool for this.” Palisade’s interfaces with the familiar Excel environment, the easy integration of information from one tool to another, and the graphic reports shorten the learning curve for new quality control initiates and simplify communicating results.
read the full article Neural Networks Software Crunches the Big Numbers
read Cummins, Inc. case study
read Met-Mex Peñoles case study
Industry Application:
DecisionTools and the Environment
Nature confronts environmentalists and scientists with bottomless complexity. Even seemingly discreet factors such as air temperatures, water levels, and plant and animal populations are in themselves a tangle of interdependent variables. This multilayered entanglement makes environmental issues perfect subjects for Palisade’s DecisionTools Suite. An increasing number of customers use Palisade tools to measure and predict factors that influence the environment.
@RISK and its companion tools have modeled responses to a range of problems where the unknowns themselves had to be simulated. For instance, a team of scientists working for Kennecott Utah Copper used @RISK and BestFit to estimate the effect of the mining company’s operations on wetland birds, and their study prompted corrective actions by Kennecott. And in a series of workshops around the world, the IUNC-World Conservation Union pairs PrecisionTree with @RISK to teach scientists working on populations of endangered animals how to identify and analyze the risks of disease for those populations.
But it’s not only wild animals benefiting from the DecisionTools Suite. At Cornell University, engineers created an @RISK model of optimal management of water supply in arid central Texas that depends on the Lower Colorado River. @RISK and PrecisionTree have even been used to assess the potential impact of a volcano eruption on human villages on the Caribbean island of Montserrat.
In contrast to decision-makers in business and engineering, who often analyze scenarios with mountains of information, Palisade users who work on ecological issues are implementing DecisionTools to compensate for lack of information. For example, there is a lack of solid data on the diseases that occur naturally in wild populations. In another case, the impact of selenium pollution on native species was completely without precedent. As World Conservation Union workshop organizer Douglas Armstrong reported, “What we needed was a set of practical, comprehensive, broadly applicable tools to anticipate what the problems might be. I think we have that now.”
read environmental case studies
learn more about DecisionTools Suite
Product Spotlight:
Buy @RISK The World’s Most Powerful Risk
Analysis Tool And Save $440 on Training
Learn @RISK from an expert instructor in just a few hours with Palisade’s popular Live Web Training courses. Classes are held via an interactive web session and telephone conference, with course materials and example files emailed to you.
With Live Web Training, you can:
- avoid travel time and costs
- interact live with the instructor and group
- see the instructor’s computer and share your own
- sign up for seminars when it’s convenient for you
Plus, you can receive the Introduction to Financial Modeling Training CD by Wayne Winston at no charge. This interactive, narrated tool walks you though step-by-step how to solve a range of business problems.
Just buy @RISK Pro for Excel before June 30, 2006 and get:
@RISK Pro for Excel$995
Live Web Training$595$255
Financial Modeling Training CD$100$0
Total:$1690$1250
800 432 RISK
sales@palisade.com
view training schedule
more on Live Web Training
more on @RISK
more on Introduction to Financial Modeling Training CD
@RISK Italiano Released continued from above
:: Same Great Product
The new version contains all the same capabilities and power of the original @RISK. Palisade’s translation of the English-language software is comprehensive, with @RISK menus, commands, help files, and software manual all carefully rendered in Italian.
:: Italian Joins a Growing Family
The Italian version of @RISK joins an international family of Spanish, French, German, and Japanese translations of the product, released last year. As with the other languages, the Italian version is supported by web pages, brochures, and example files in Italian. Existing @RISK users who wish to add the Italian version may contact their regional sales representative for a special introductory offer.
:: “Upsurge in Demand”
Craig Ferri, Managing Director of Palisade Europe said, “Organizations are becoming much more aware of the impact of everyday threats to their business, and are turning to tools such as @RISK to provide them with the data they need to make critical business decisions. Subsequently we have seen an upsurge in demand for our products across Europe, and the Italian version is the latest in our response to this demand.”
Ask Amy continued from above
The height of a bar in a relative frequency histogram gives you the probability for the interval.
The advantage of Relative Frequency histograms is that you can tell at a glance the probability of each bin. Relative Frequency histograms are most appropriate when all bin widths are equal, since unequal bin widths can result in a visually misleading graph.
Probability Density histograms, on the other hand, are created by:
- Dividing the data into intervals.
- Calculating the fraction of data values in each interval.
- Dividing these fractions by the size of each interval.
The area of a bar in a probability density histogram gives you the proportion of the total that falls in the designated region. The sum of the area of all of the bars is equal to one. Probability Density histograms are useful when comparing data from theoretical distributions to simulated results.
@RISK easily lets you choose the type of histogram you want. To do this:
- Right-click on your histogram and select "Format Graph" from the menu.
- Select the "Type" tab.
- In the "Histogram Options" section, click on the drop down arrow
next to the "Format" field to choose Density or Relative Frequency. - Click "OK".
E-mail comments or suggestions to: sales@palisade.com
©2006 Palisade Corporation, 798 Cascadilla Street, Ithaca, NY 14850 USA
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