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Dr. Reidar Bratvold
Areas of Expertise: Decision Analysis, Decision Problems in the Upstream Oil & Gas Industry, Real Option Valuation, Petroleum Resource Management, Portfolio Analysis, Economic Evaluations, Geostatistics. 

REIDAR is a Professor of Petroleum Investment and Decision Analysis at the University of Stavanger, Norway where he specialises in uncertainty assessment, risk management, investment analysis, decision sciences, and market based valuation. He is also chief scientist at IRIS – International Research Institute of Stavanger.

Prior to joining the University of Stavanger, Reidar has worked at the University of Adelaide, Landmark Graphics (Vice President responsible for Landmark’s solutions in reservoir management, production and drilling and then Landmark’s solutions in decision analysis, economic evaluation and business modelling), Smedvig Technologies Software Solutions (now Roxar), ODIN Reservoir Software and Services, IBM (working on high-performance reservoir simulation) and at Statoil as a reservoir engineer. Reidar’s early working years were spent as a roughneck in the North Sea and as a seaman in the Norwegian merchant marine.

He has provided consulting and professional development services for companies such as ExxonMobil, Shell, BP, Unocal, Petronas, Saudi Aramco, Norsk Hydro, Mærsk, RAG, Statoil, DONG, as well as the Society of Petroleum Engineers.

Reidar sits on the Stanford University Petroleum Investment Committee and the board of an oil company and an IT company. Twice an SPE Distinguished Lecturer ( “Uncertainty Assessment and Risk Management in Exploration & Production” and “Would You Know a Good Decision if You Saw One?”) he’s also published papers on topics such as investment modelling, decision-making, stochastic reservoir modelling, fuzzy logic and reservoir management. Reidar is co-author of “Decision-Making and Uncertainty Management”, published by the Society of Petroleum Engineers in 2009.

Reidar holds a PhD in petroleum engineering and an MSc in mathematics from Stanford University, an MSc in petroleum engineering from the University of Tulsa, a BSc from University of Stavanger, and executive education from INSEAD (International Executive Program), Stanford’s Graduate School of Business and department of Management Sciences and Engineering, and the MIT Sloan School of Management. Reidar is an elected member of the Norwegian Academy of Technological Sciences.

Dr. Reidar Bratvold
University of Stavanger
Department of Petroleum Engineering
N4036 Stavanger


Dr. Dale F. Cooper
Areas of Expertise: Capital investment analysis, Construction, Defense, Engineering, Facilitation, Performance audit, Project economics and financial evaluation, Public utilities, Risk management processes and training, Risk modeling, Strategic planning. 
Dr. Dale Cooper is a highly skilled risk management consultant, trainer and facilitator, accredited by the NSW Government. He has significant international experience in the conduct of risk management assignments for large public and private sector projects in a variety of business areas, including the Sydney 2000 Olympic Games, large energy and resource projects and major defense procurements. He also provides in-house training in risk management.
Dr. Dale F. Cooper
Broadleaf Capital Intl
23 Bettowynd Road
Pymble, NSW 2073


Mr. Mihai-Adrian Crainic
Areas of Expertise: With more than 15 years of experience in construction, insurance (life & non-life) and non-baking financial institutions, Mr. Mihai Crainic offers bespoken risk modeling consulting and training courses concerning: operational & extreme risks, project risk, strategic & business risk modeling and profit tests.
He is a graduate of the Construction University of Bucharest and a graduate of E.M.B.A.-ASEBUSS, having more than 10 years of experience in working with Palisade’s Products.
Mihai-Adrian Crainic, PFA
B-dul Nicolae Titulescu 39-49
Sector 1


HVR Consulting Services
Areas of Expertise: Engineering, Scientific, Management, Project Management
HVR Consulting Services is one of the UK's and North America's leading Risk/Project Management consultancies with over 15 years Risk management experience. HVR has been at the forefront of developing risk management methodologies and mature solutions for the proactive management of risk.

The Risk Management Group provides wide experience in a number of engineering, scientific and management disciplines, together with expertise in the application of risk assessment and management techniques at both project and business levels within a variety of industrial sectors. The entire risk management process including identification, qualitative assessment, quantitative analysis, response planning, and control and management is supported by HVR-CSL's Risk Management Group. This process can be applied to all stages of the project lifecycle, from concept evaluation, feasibility study, project definition, development, implementation, operation and disposal. The process also applies equally to assessment of risk in achieving business objectives.

In addition to consultancy, the group provides support to organisations wishing to develop an in-house risk management capability, and also provides expert risk management training at a variety of levels.

HVR-CSL is also actively involved with Risk Management Training Courses and workshops, in addition to our presence at conferences and seminars. HVR-CSL has over 10 years experience in conducting Risk Management training courses. Training courses are also available for @RISK and Monte Carlo analysis methodologies.
Mr. Chris Maughan
HVR Consulting Services Ltd
Selborne House, Mill Lane
ALTON, Hampshire
GU34 2QJ

01420 87977
01420 89819


Areas of Expertise: project risk management, integrated time/cost/revenues probabilistic modelling, economic evaluation, complex decision modelling, risk advisory, risk management processes implementation
Kwantis is a consulting company dedicated to the assessment of future uncertainties, in order to support decision makers to invest with greater visibility. Our interventions are taking form of either dedicated estimation studies, or processes implementation.

Kwantis activities are spread between France and Italy for top European energy players and acknowledged educational institutions. kwantis management team has an experience of 20 years in probabilistic analysis for complex projects in energy & utilities, infrastructures, transportation, naval construction & public services.

Our value is built on our consultants, Italian, French, Swiss & Kazakh nationals, all specialized in Project Risk Management activities, including investment evaluation, risk advisory, probabilistic cash flow modelling, probabilistic planning, decision models, probabilistic fault tree, and business planning optimization.

Stochastic modelling is the core activity in most of kwantis interventions, using Palisade Decision Suite.
Kwantis Srl
Partner - Jean Michelez
Piazza 4 Novembre, 7
20124 Milano

+39 02 455 08367
+39 02 871 52846


Kwanto Risk Management
Areas of Expertise: Project Risk Management, Construction, Engineering, Facilitation, Public Sector Capital Projects, Risk Management Process and Training, Risk Auditing, Value Engineering
Francois Joubert, the Principal Consultant, is a project risk specialist. He graduated as a mechanical engineer in 1994 and has since obtained a MEng (Technology Management), MBA and MPhil (Ethics) and is planning to complete a PhD titled “Risk simulation in a portfolio of port and rail capital projects” towards the end of 2015.

In addition to his role as risk specialist, he has extensive experience on the systems and processes related to quality management, project contingency management and project change management. He served as a panel member for various disciplines on several project gate reviews.

He lectures Project Risk Management and Project Risk Simulation at the University of Pretoria as well as the Nelson Mandela Metropolitan University in Port Elizabeth (South Africa).
Francois Joubert
Principal Consultant
Kwanto Risk Management Ltd
14 Tygerberg Country Estate

+27 (0)83 287 6608


Dr. Marcos Huber Mendes

Especialidade: Tratamento, Modelagem e Avaliação do Risco em Empreendimentos, Negócios, Projetos e Processos; Análise Qualitativa e Análise Quantitativa do Risco; Simulação, Gerenciamento, Mitigação e Gestão do Risco; Capacitação para Tratamento do Risco.

Com a premissa de trabalhar com o cliente e não apenas para o cliente, Dr. Huber Mendes desenvolve programas de treinamento em Análise do Risco utilizando todos os softwares da Palisade e dados reais do cliente. Ele tem experiência de consultoria nas áreas de:

Óleo & Gás                                                   
Energia Elétrica;                                                   
Avaliação do Risco em Projetos        
Simulação e Otimização de Portfólios     
Planejamento Estratégico
Planos Atuariais e de Saúde                     
Estatística para Produtividade                                            
Redes Neurais e Lógica Fuzzy            
Risco em Estudos de Viabilidade Econômica e Financeira

Dr. Huber Mendes é Bacharel em Estatistica pela Ence/Ibge, tem mestrado em Planejamento e Análise de Sistemas pelo Inpe/Cnpq, mestrado em Engenharia de Produção pela Coppe/Ufrj e doutorado em Apoio à Decisão pela PUC/Rio com o desenvolvimento de modelos de Simulação e Otimização de Portfólios.

Consultor em estatística desde 1985, a partir de 1995 Dr. Huber Mendes começou a trabalhar com Análise do Risco. Em 2001, com o apoio institucional do Instituto Genesis da PUC/Rio, ele montou sua própria empresa a Decision Support, especializada no Tratamento do Risco e na Capacitação para o Tratamento do Risco.

Decision Support Ltda
Rua Marquês de São Vicente 225
Instituto Gênesis – PUC/Rio
22453-900  –  Gávea  –  Rio de Janeiro

+55 21 2541-3363
       +55 21 2541-3363
       Cell phone: +55 21 9608-5537


Model Supply Chains Ltd.
Areas of Expertise: Supply chain strategic planning, capital investment decision support, manufacturing and distribution network design, decision making under uncertainty, financial modelling, cost modelling, greenhouse gas evaluation

Model Supply Chains provides specialist consultancy in strategic supply chain design.  We help to generate shareholder value for our clients by applying consulting, analytical and modelling expertise to inform a robust end-to-end supply chain strategy. 

Our principal consultant, Anthony Kahn, has over 30 years of professional experience in the fields of statistics and supply chain strategic planning.  He has a Masters degree in Statistics, complemented by the Stanford University Diploma for Decision Quality in Organizations.  He has applied @RISK in the context of numerous supply chain design, restructuring and capital investment projects, evaluating the impact of uncertainty in input parameters on both financial metrics and greenhouse gas emissions.  He has also developed and rolled out training in the principles of decision making under uncertainty and in the application of @RISK.

Anthony Kahn
Principal Consultant
Model Supply Chains Ltd.
127A Milner Road
CH60 5RX

+44 (0)7402 992313
01420 89819


Mr. Regis Motta
Areas of Expertise: Mining, Oil and Gas, Engineering, Operations Research.
Regis Motta received his bachelor's degree in civil engineering from UFRGS (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul ) in 1974 and his master's degree in systems engineering and operational research at IME, Rio de Janeiro in 1978. He holds a Ph.D. in Mining Engineering from the Royal School of Mines, Imperial College, UK. Regis was a Visiting Professor in the Department of Mathematics and Computer Science at the Colorado School of Mines, Colorado, USA in 1990. In 1995, he joined the Department of Mining Engineering, UFRGS, as an Adjunct Professor. In 1997, Regis was accepted on the selection exam as an Adjunct Professor of the Economics Engineering discipline at the Department of Industrial Engineering, at UFRJ ( Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro).

In 1991, Regis founded his own consulting firm, RM Consulting and Software, and has helped clients such as: PETROBRAS, Vale do Rio Doce, Mineração Rio do Norte, Billiton (formerly Shell, now GENCOR ), CADAM - Caulim da Amazônia, Liquid Carbonic, Texaco, BNDES, CPRM, DNPM, Banco do Nordeste, CEMIG, and others.
RM Consultoria Ltda
Rua Vice Governador Rubens
Berardo, 125/407 - Bloco II
Gavea, Rio de Janeiro
+55 21 2540-8715
       +55 21 2247-9330
       Cell phone: +55 21 9983-7490


Risk Dynamics Consultancy
Areas of Expertise: Risk management, risk modeling, business modeling, Monte Carlo simulation, quantitative analysis, statistical data mining, options (real & financial) valuation, project management, financial & economic analysis, training & education, enterprise risk management, strategic risk management, decision analysis, resource management, risk management processes, project evaluation.

Risk Dynamics Consultancy is based in Istanbul, Turkey. RDC provides professional risk modeling and management consulting services for both local and global organizations in all industries. Their primary expertise lies in identifying uncertainty in business models, quantifying these risks, and incorporating them into tools to guide decision makers. RDC develops stochastic modeling solutions based on the powerful combination of spreadsheets with @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite.

RDC gives customized training for @RISK and the DecisionTools Suite throughout the EMEA region. In addition to consultancy, RDC provides support to organizations wishing to develop their own risk management team, delivering expert risk management training at a variety of levels.

The founding partners have nearly 10 combined years working with Palisade products. Their formal education and training includes multiple MBAs, PMP (project management professional) and FRM (financial risk manager) certifications, and a PhD. Industries in which they have worked include finance, energy, oil & gas, insurance, and telecommunications. RDC principals have delivered training workshops, presented case studies at risk conferences, and published original academic work using Palisade’s tools.

Risk Dynamics Consultancy aims to be your partner for modelling risk and uncertainty in your business.

Risk Dynamics Consultancy
Istanbul / Turkey
phone: +90 (0212) 2167548


Areas of Expertise: Risk Management for business and projects.

Our expertise in quantitative risk assessment provides appropriate methods to estimate uncertainties in cost estimates, budgets and other financial projections.

Performance indicators and dashboards built from @RISK, are an excellent method to monitor operational aspects.

Fields of application
Project management in the fields of engineering and construction, Infrastructure, Civil, Urban or IT. Telecom Consolidation of a portfolio of projects.

Investment analysis : Comparative risk analysis and investment optimization.

Optimization applications.

Training and consulting.

Bruno Berroyer – Risk Manager
56, rue de Piètre
59249 Aubers

+33 (0)6 20 87 28 82


Prof. Alfredo Russo
Areas of Expertise: Analysis under uncertainty for all types of Projects, Quantitative Risk Assessment, Project Management, Project Management Training, Budget Estimation and Forecast Preparation
Alfredo is a Professor of Project Management at Universidad Nacional de Quilmes, and has over 30 years experience working both as a Project Manager in industry and as a Project Evaluator for banks and public agencies. He is now a consultant in the use of Palisade tools for Project Formulation and Evaluation under Uncertainty for Science and Technology Agency in his country. He also teaches Project Management for both graduate and undergraduate students.

Alfredo has prepared and evaluated business plans in all sorts of situations, including contract bids, project proposals, technical innovation projects, estimation of budget and capital expenditures. Furthermore, he has worked in a wide variety of industry sectors including chemical and petrochemical, government, construction and manufacturing.

Consultancy skills used to help client projects include:
· Project management
· Problem analysis, including use of Palisade's PrecisionTree
· Workshop facilitation
· Solution development
· Project planning and resource estimation, using MS Project and @RISK for Project
· Input and outcome risk modelling, using the @RISK Decision Tools Suite
· Financial management
· Knowledge transfer and training (including @RISK training)
Prof Alfredo Russo
Universidad Nacional de Quilmes
Roque Saenz Peña 180
1876 - BERNAL


Areas of Expertise: Transport infrastructure and services

Transae is an economic transport consultancy company, based in France, which specialises in economic audits, quality control, risk assessment and risk management for transportation projects.

In relation to risk analysis, Transae's field of expertise is in the calculation of statistical, economic, and mathematical scenarios, including: contract choosing (Private / PFI versus Public), Budget risks (Capital Expenditure, Operating Expenditure), Revenue risks (dependent on traffic), Inflation risks, and Planning risks (delays).

Transae's clients include various infrastructure builders and owners such as Réseau Ferré de France (responsible for French railways), motorway companies and local authorities, and their projects encompass both freight and passenger transportation.

Ing. Jean-Eric MORAIN
4, rue Grobon
69001 Lyon

+33 09 54 56 76 25


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